Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All.. PAPERBAC...

Description: FASTSHIPPING HASSLEFREERETURNS SECUREPAYMENT EXCELLENTSERVICE Description Wall Street Journal bestseller!Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run. Publisher ‏ : ‎ Portfolio Language ‏ : ‎ English Paperback ‏ : ‎ 288 pages ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0735216371 ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0735216372 Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 8.7 ounces Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 5.47 x 0.76 x 8.25 inches SHIPPING Shipping All items fast! The majority of orders are shipped using USPS Priority Mail and UPS Ground if requested. There is an option at checkout to add a Signature of Delivery for extra security & peace of mind. This means you need to sign for your parcel. If you are not home, the courier will take it to your local post office for collection. We also offer expedited shipments upon request, we will quote the shipment and let you know of the estimated cost. If agreed we will process the order and add the shipping charge to your invoice. All items ordered by 3 PM EST will be shipped same day. We also are partnered with Ebay using the Global Shipping Program. We will ship internationally to any country that is a part of the program. "International buyers – please note: Import duties, taxes, and charges aren't included in the item price or postage cost. These charges are the buyer's responsibility. "Please check with your country's customs office to determine what these additional costs will be, prior to bidding or buying." Alaska/Hawaii/Puerto Rico charge extra : $30.00 Canada $50.00 *Additional taxes may apply Every item we ship is fully insured. 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The customer is liable for any damages or lost packages during transit to us. Any items returned to us may be subject to a 20% restocking fee. The refund price (after restocking and shipping fees are deducted) will be issued to you via the original method of payment for your purchase. FEEDBACK Our all customers are 100% satisfied. If you have any issues with your orders, please contact us to resolve it. We are happy to help you EXCHANGE CANCELLATION You need to send us an order cancellation request through eBay before the shipment made. once we have the request, we will approve it from our end and grant your full refund back to your account. CONTACT US Please send us an email via ebay. We will reply within 24 hours. Copyright © | All Rights Reserved

Price: 14 USD

Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

End Time: 2024-11-17T03:56:49.000Z

Shipping Cost: 5.99 USD